2022年1月24日 星期一

俄羅斯侵犯烏克蘭風雲起?Russia Invites Calamity if It Invades Ukraine vs 成本低高利的侵略;普丁耀美國退出歐洲,美國考慮出兵.......

 俄羅斯侵犯烏克蘭風雲起?Russia Invites Calamity if It Invades Ukraine vs 成本低高利的侵略;普丁耀美國退出歐洲,美國考慮出兵.......

https://www.facebook.com/hanching.chung/videos/1131917330900823



It’s Not Just About Ukraine. Putin Wants to Evict the U.S. From Europe.



歐洲/歐盟看法分裂

Differences among and within European nations have already been on full display, even as Russia’s continued military buildup along Ukraine’s borders intensified fears that President Vladimir Putin is serious about launching at least some kind of incursion into Ukraine.


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DW 中文 - 德国之声和 DW 中文 - 德國之聲都分享了 1 條連結。



BREAKING
UK begins withdrawing embassy staff from Kiev as Russia war fears mount
INDEPENDENT.CO.UK
UK begins withdrawing embassy staff from Kiev as Russia war fears mount
The UK is withdrawing some of its staff from its Ukraine embassy amid growing tensions in the nation.


Britain accuses Russia of Ukraine plot

According to the assessment, Russian planners are considering installing Yevgeniy Murayev, a former member of Ukraine’s Parliament, as leader of a pro-Kremlin puppet government. The new accusations provided few details about how Russia might impose a new government and did not say whether such plans were contingent on an invasion.

Explainers: Here are the basics of the conflict and one way a war might start.

Analysis: The U.K.’s announcement signals its ambitions to be a player in Europe’s security crisis — and deflect attention from Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s overlapping scandals.

Chernobyl: Ukraine has initiated a defensive strategy around the husk of the power plant, which lies on the shortest path between Russia and Kyiv. Its security forces patrol one of the most radioactive places on Earth.

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德国海军司令舍恩巴赫因在印度一个智库讨论会上发表”乌克兰已经失去了克里米亚,永远也拿不回来了“的言论而宣布辞职。此一表态并不反映德国政府的立场。他还对俄罗斯总统普京表示理解,并称需要用俄罗斯来对付中国。



Patreon文章<烏克蘭危機——「小襲擊」較「真襲擊」更麻煩>: https://bit.ly/355XqDN
烏克蘭危機不斷升溫,很多人覺得大戰一觸即發,但我一直不覺得俄羅斯真的準備即將「侵略」烏克蘭,因為全面入侵、企圖佔領全境的代價很大,俄國犯不着這樣做。
反而對烏克蘭採取「小襲擊」的風險大得多,也較「真侵略」構成更大麻煩。
目前各界揣測中的「小襲擊」方案中,以佔領部份領土最接近侵略,當中可分為3個可能:由東邊揮軍至Dnieper河、佔領亞速海沿岸、以及由黑海襲擊。這3個方案全部都跟克里米亞有關,旨在保障克里米亞的淡水供應。
可能是地圖和顯示的文字是「 POLAND BELARUS Pripet RUSSIA Desna Kyiv Don UKRAINE Dniester Kharkiv Dnieper MOLDOVA Dnieper Dam ROMANIA Odessa Don Sea of Azov Danube BULGARIA BLACK SEA 」的圖像


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