2022年11月15日 星期二

The Return of Red China. 奇想或雄才大略,翻譯例討論:《貪功致敗:中國如何擾亂了自己的和平崛起》( Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise )。《紅色工程師的上升》(Rise of the Red Engineers

 

奇想或雄才大略,翻譯例討論:習近平不再宣布中國處於“重要戰略機遇期”,也沒有提到“和平與發展仍是時代主題”。謝淑麗(Susan Shirk)新書《貪功致敗:中國如何擾亂了自己的和平崛起》( Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise )。《紅色工程師的上升》(Rise of the Red Engineers)......

 https://www.facebook.com/hanching.chung/videos/1270155663799414


Read Kevin Rudd on what Xi Jinping’s rhetoric throughout the 20th Party Congress indicates about the Chinese Communist Party’s changing priorities.

The Return of Red China
FOREIGNAFFAIRS.COM
The Return of Red China
Xi Jinping brings back Marxism.




翻譯例討論:習近平不再宣布中國處於“重要戰略機遇期”,也沒有提到“和平與發展仍是時代主題”。謝淑麗(Susan Shirk)新書《貪功致敗:中國如何擾亂了自己的和平崛起》( Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise )。《紅色工程師的上升》(Rise of the Red Engineers)......




中共觀察家的英文(引文、書名等)之翻譯例之討論:


Xi Jinping laid out his priorities at the Communist Party congress. The words he didn’t say also spoke volumes.


紐約時報說,這回 習的報告,缺一向 宣稱的“和平發展”,“戰略機會”。意思重大。


習近平避而不談的兩個口號說明了什麼

儲百亮

習近平不再宣布中國處於“重要戰略機遇期”,也沒有提到“和平與發展仍是時代主題”。官員們慣於從他的講話中尋找國家未來走向的徵兆,他避而不談的東西同樣能說明問題。



****

Susan Shirk(謝淑麗)的新書Overreach: How China Derailed It’s Peaceful Rise? 《脆弱的強權:在中國崛起的背後》(China─Fragile Superpower: How China's Internal Politics Could Derail It's Peaceful Rise).China in Xi's" New Era": The Return to Personalistic Rule


“對官員的這種壓力真的至少會導致政策執行不力的問題,”曾在克林頓政府時期擔任副助理國務卿的謝淑麗(Susan Shirk)說,她著有新書《貪功致敗:中國如何擾亂了自己的和平崛起》( Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise )。

“官員們不敢告訴習近平,他的政策實際上有不利方面,執行上有代價,並會製造新問題,”謝淑麗說。 “所有的官員都將競相展示自己的忠誠,導致他們最終會做過火。”

就連中國的審查機器似乎也洩露了公眾對習近平權力的反應存在某種敏感性。社交媒體上的官方賬號或關閉了評論區,或只顯示對習近平新任期的報導表示樂觀的評論。個別不同意見曾短暫地躲過了審查,有些人用含蓄的語言對習近平的權力無處不在表示失望,還有些人想知道為什麼曾被視為李克強總理潛在接班人的胡春華被排除在了領導班子之外。

“以他的資歷和業績,怎麼說也該進吧!”一名評論者寫道。 “不以能力說了算,這還怎麼振興?”






Ben Chen

Susan Shirk(謝淑麗)的新書
Overreach(或指:過度擴張、自不量力、貪功致敗?)
How China Derailed It’s Peaceful Rise? 中國如何從其和平崛起脫軌?
作者在序文交代說,這本書她從2008年開始寫,然後又觀察到中國越來越變形了,關於這本新書,她已經做了好幾場演講,在下面這一場的演講中,在43:30的地方,她還特別提到王毅,說她本來蠻了解並尊重王毅的,王毅先是和安倍晉三溝通,促成安倍不再去靖國神社參拜。在胡錦濤時期,王毅負責國台辦,也加強海峽兩岸的經濟關係,做法上是比較務實和克制的。然而現在再看王毅的講話,覺得他已經200%的變成習近平的應聲蟲。…… But now you hear him talk you would never know it was the same person,it’s you know ,200 percent echoing everything that Xi Jinping says.
https://youtu.be/GbAMdWUi6vQ






Authors
Susan L Shirk
Publication date
2018
Journal
Journal of Democracy
Volume
29
Issue
2
Pages
22-36
Publisher
Johns Hopkins University Press
Description
After Mao Zedong died, Deng Xiaoping and his colleagues sought to prevent “the overconcentration of power” by introducing fixed terms of office, term limits, and a mandatory retirement age; delegating authority from the Communist Party to government agencies; and holding regular meetings of Party institutions. All these moves were designed to decentralize authority, regularize political life and check dictatorial power. The centerpiece of the institutionalization project was the practice of regular peaceful leadership succession followed by Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao. Regular premortem leadership succession was a rare achievement in a communist system and the most important source of China’s “authoritarian resilience.” Yet today, Xi Jinping is taking China back to a personalistic dictatorship after decades of institutionalized collective leadership. He has clearly signaled his intention to remain in office after his …





將"中國,超級強權"類的書一讀,或許是"知匪"的第一步。
即使是幾十年前的或十幾年前的書,都可以學習。
我很訝異"維基百科,自由的百科全書"有這 (改正一字internal):
跳至導覽跳至搜尋
脆弱的強權:在中國崛起的背後》(China─Fragile Superpower: How China's Internal Politics Could Derail It's Peaceful Rise)一書是由謝淑麗(Susan L. Shirk)所著,牛津大學出版社出版。正體中文版由政治大學東亞所博士,世新大學助理教授溫洽溢譯。台灣遠流出版社2008年出版。




***
北京可能會在國際社會對其強硬行為的批評面前保持挑釁態度。中國正在戰略技術方面尋求更大的自立。它希望成為亞太地區最卓越的軍事力量,並進一步強化對台灣的主權主張。習近平在二十大上還表示,中國將在解決全球發展和安全問題上推動自己的倡議。

進入政治局的官員包括中國航天項目的兩名前領導人、中國最大的武器製造商之一的前總經理,以及中國核安全機構的前負責人。這些人在戰略競爭加劇的時期被提升絕非偶然,約翰霍普金斯大學社會學教授、《紅色工程師的上升》(Rise of the Red Engineers)一書的作者喬爾·安德烈亞斯說。







Why China's Eurasian integration project—One Belt, One Road—could be a case of risky geopolitical overreach: 

http://ow.ly/LPx0s
Jacob Stokes | China's One Belt, One Road Initiative | Foreign Affairs


While the eyes of the world focus on China’s aggression in the seas to its...
FOREIGNAFFAIRS.COM


Obama Tells Republicans to ‘Reopen the Government’
By JACKIE CALMES and JEREMY W. PETERS 9:02 PM ET


In a show of defiance that reflected Democrats’ confidence that conservatives had overreached, President Obama called on House Republicans to stop fighting his health care law.




As a consequence of the Porsche family's over-reaching, its carmaking business, while still healthy, faces the end of its long-cherished independence.
Go to Article from The New York Times»


Lehman, Hypo Risks Created ‘Messes’ for Flowers’s Japanese Bank
Bloomberg - USA
19 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire J. Christopher Flowers says Shinsei Bank Ltd., the Japanese lender he partly owns, over-reached with investments in the US and ...




Why Powerful People Overestimate Themselves


President Barack Obama isn't as great as he thinks he is. To be fair, neither were Presidents Bush or Clinton — or Washington or Lincoln, for that matter. The same can be said for every general who ever commanded an army or every boss who ever ran an office. The fact is, if there's one thing that defines people in powerful positions, it's that they overestimate what they can do with that power.
That, at least, is the conclusion of a study published in the current issue of the journal Psychological Science. And while you may have always suspected that the folks who run the world aren't all they're cracked up to be, don't take too much satisfaction from the fact. It's the rest of us who wind up paying for their overreaching. (See pictures of how Presidents age in office.)

牛津英文辭典的overreach有一種解釋:Get the better of by cunning; outwit:
有趣的是例子是我們後天讀書會的主角:浮士德博士
Faustus’s lunacy in thinking he can overreach the devil
中國中南海也有昏了頭、賣了靈的浮士德博士嗎?

 

Definition of overreach
verb
  • 1 [no object] reach out too far:never lean sideways from a ladder or overreach
  • (overreach oneself) try to do more than is possible:the Church overreached itself in securing a territory that would prove impossible to hold
  • (of a horse or dog) bring the hind feet so far forward that they fall alongside or strike the forefeet: the horse overreached jumping the first hurdle
  • 2 [with object] get the better of by cunning; outwit:Faustus’s lunacy in thinking he can overreach the devil

Derivatives

overreacher

noun



overreach yourself Show phonetics
verb [R]
to fail by trying to achieve, spend or do more than you can manage:
Companies that overreach themselves soon find themselves in debt.

overreach
verb
  1. To go beyond the limits of: exceedoverrunoverstepsurpasstranscendSee excess/insufficiency/enough.
  2. To get the better of by cleverness or cunning: outmaneuveroutsmartoutthinkoutwitSee win/lose/recovery.
Exploiting a situation through fraud or unconscionable conduct.

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