2024年11月19日 星期二

估計缺乏透明度,而且籠統,這使得它們充其量只是對這場戰爭的不可靠的描述。Russia Has Suffered Colossal Losses in Ukraine. Is Its Army Depleted?

 


Military analysts and statisticians said the lack of transparency, and the catchall nature of Western estimates of Russian casualties, made them, at best, an unreliable snapshot of the war.

軍事分析家和統計學家表示,西方對俄羅斯傷亡人數的估計缺乏透明度,而且籠統,這使得它們充其量只是對這場戰爭的不可靠的描述。



俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭第1000天   
俄羅斯在烏克蘭遭受了巨大損失。它的軍隊已經耗盡了嗎?
研究人員和記者找到了衡量俄羅斯持續戰鬥能力的創新方法。

在灰色天空下,沙灘墓園裡的墳墓上掛滿了旗幟和巨大的花圈。
去年,俄羅斯烏蘭烏德的一座俄羅斯陣亡士兵墓園。
阿納托利·庫馬納耶夫
阿納托利·庫爾馬納耶夫
一些獨立的俄羅斯記者和研究人員找到了統計俄羅斯死傷人數的創新方法,他們從訃告、墓地、傷殘津貼和公證資料庫等不同來源挖掘資訊。

他們還表示,俄羅斯在這場戰爭中損失的士兵比二戰以來任何工業化國家在衝突中損失的士兵還要多…

俄羅斯侵入烏克蘭第1000天   

Russia Has Suffered Colossal Losses in Ukraine. Is Its Army Depleted?

Researchers and journalists have found innovative ways to measure Russia’s ability to keep fighting.


Flags and large wreaths festoon tombs in a sandy cemetery under a gray sky.

A cemetery for fallen Russian soldiers in Ulan-Ude, Russia, last year.Credit...Nanna Heitmann for The New York Times

Anatoly Kurmanaev

By Anatoly Kurmanaev

Some independent Russian journalists and researchers have found innovative ways to count Russia’s dead and wounded, digging up information from diverse sources like obituaries, cemeteries, disability payments and notary databases.


They also suggest that Russia has lost more soldiers in this war than any industrialized nation has in a conflict since World War II.....

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